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DHT: 12CSV

15 Dec 2024 · 14:00

Nice

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.6%
Montpellier
19.7%
Draw
64.7%
Nice

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Montpellier

vs
1.98

Nice

Markets

BTTS48.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
6.5%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).