Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Hartlepool
21.2%
Draw
57.5%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Hartlepool
vs
1.93
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
4.5%
2-3
3.4%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).