Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.4%
Las Palmas
25.8%
Draw
9.8%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Las Palmas
vs
0.39
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS24.8%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.0%
2-0
16.8%
0-0
15.5%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-0
3.0%
1-2
1.8%
2-2
1.3%
0-2
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).