Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Colchester
23.9%
Draw
18.8%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Colchester
vs
0.80
Barrow
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).