Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Mantova
29.0%
Draw
21.6%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Mantova
vs
0.89
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).