Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Metz
19.8%
Draw
59.0%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Metz
vs
2.07
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.0%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-3
3.9%
1-4
3.5%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).