Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
AFC Wimbledon
25.0%
Draw
14.3%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.57
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS33.3%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
2-0
14.3%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
3.0%
4-0
2.7%
2-2
2.3%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).