Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Oviedo
32.7%
Draw
23.1%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Oviedo
vs
0.67
Burgos
Markets
BTTS31.6%
Over 0.582.2%
Over 1.551.1%
Over 2.524.8%
Over 3.59.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
0-0
17.8%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
2-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).