Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.5%
Poltava
14.4%
Draw
81.1%
Kharkiv
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
Poltava
vs
2.34
Kharkiv
Markets
BTTS29.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
17.8%
0-1
15.0%
0-3
13.9%
0-4
8.1%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-4
3.2%
1-0
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).