Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.8%
Watford
31.4%
Draw
52.8%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Watford
vs
1.36
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-0
15.2%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-0
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).