Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Gaziantep
32.7%
Draw
25.6%
Denizlispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Gaziantep
vs
1.09
Denizlispor
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.7%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).