Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Bristol City
31.7%
Draw
37.5%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Bristol City
vs
0.97
Man United
Markets
BTTS35.3%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
0-0
15.7%
1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).