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DHT: 10CSV

19 Oct 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.9%
Preußen Münster
28.7%
Draw
48.4%
Elversberg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Preußen Münster

vs
1.48

Elversberg

Markets

BTTS48.3%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
10.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).