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10 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.3%
Grenoble
22.2%
Draw
58.5%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Grenoble

vs
1.68

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).