Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.7%
Spartak Moskva
18.0%
Draw
12.3%
Akron
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Spartak Moskva
vs
1.05
Akron
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
8.0%
3-0
7.6%
1-0
5.9%
4-1
5.2%
4-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).