Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Fleetwood Town
25.8%
Draw
37.8%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.19
Coventry
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).