Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.7%
Newport County
18.9%
Draw
65.3%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Newport County
vs
2.14
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.6%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
8.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
7.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
0-4
4.0%
1-4
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).