Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.8%
Ath Bilbao
20.7%
Draw
61.5%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Ath Bilbao
vs
2.11
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
8.7%
1-3
7.0%
0-3
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
0-0
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).