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28 Sept 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.4%
Hull
23.1%
Draw
19.5%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Hull

vs
1.07

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS57.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).