Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Santander
24.8%
Draw
34.0%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Santander
vs
1.33
Elche
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).