Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.1%
Istanbulspor
30.6%
Draw
52.3%
Sivasspor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Istanbulspor
vs
1.63
Sivasspor
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.1%
0-2
10.9%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).