Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.4%
Hartlepool
21.5%
Draw
67.0%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Hartlepool
vs
2.01
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.3%
0-1
12.5%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.9%
0-0
7.4%
1-3
6.3%
0-4
4.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).