Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Ulm
31.7%
Draw
33.5%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Ulm
vs
1.09
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).