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30 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.6%
Inverness C
28.6%
Draw
48.8%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Inverness C

vs
1.61

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.5%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).