Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Bournemouth
29.1%
Draw
27.3%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Bournemouth
vs
1.14
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).