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03 Aug 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.6%
Schalke 04
27.1%
Draw
17.3%
Braunschweig

Expected Goals (xG)

1.61

Schalke 04

vs
0.80

Braunschweig

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).