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06 Dec 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.6%
Zagłębie Lubin
26.1%
Draw
18.3%
Widzew Lodz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Zagłębie Lubin

vs
0.87

Widzew Lodz

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).