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25 May 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.3%
Barnet
17.3%
Draw
8.4%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

2.39

Barnet

vs
0.70

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.0%
3-0
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
6.2%
0-0
5.2%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
3.2%
5-0
2.9%
1-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).