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29 Jun 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.5%
Benevento
31.9%
Draw
27.6%
Juve Stabia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Benevento

vs
0.95

Juve Stabia

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).