Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.4%
Tenerife
30.8%
Draw
14.9%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Tenerife
vs
0.48
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS26.5%
Over 0.581.5%
Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.523.8%
Over 3.59.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
22.5%
0-0
18.5%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
10.6%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
6.4%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
0-2
2.1%
4-0
1.6%
2-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).