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AHT: 00CSV

05 Feb 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.5%
Hull
26.3%
Draw
25.2%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Hull

vs
1.12

Preston

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).