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HHT: 20CSV

15 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.5%
Juventus
13.5%
Draw
8.0%
Frosinone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.70

Juventus

vs
0.75

Frosinone

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.5%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
7.0%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
0-0
3.0%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).