Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Kayserispor
32.2%
Draw
16.4%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Kayserispor
vs
0.78
Yeni Malatyaspor
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
13.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).