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22 Apr 2026 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.6%
Charlton
29.3%
Draw
50.1%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.81

Charlton

vs
1.41

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS43.2%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.2%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
11.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
3.6%
0-4
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).