Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Port Vale
25.5%
Draw
34.5%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Port Vale
vs
1.22
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).