Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Sociedad
21.7%
Draw
21.5%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Sociedad
vs
1.18
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-1
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).