Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Cadiz
24.9%
Draw
31.8%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Cadiz
vs
1.26
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).