Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.6%
Cesena
31.7%
Draw
35.7%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Cesena
vs
1.14
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.3%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).