Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
West Brom
30.9%
Draw
37.2%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
West Brom
vs
1.18
Swansea
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).