Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.8%
Lecce
28.8%
Draw
46.4%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Lecce
vs
1.25
Bologna
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.3%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).