Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.1%
Accrington
27.9%
Draw
37.0%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Accrington
vs
1.12
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS44.0%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).