Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.7%
Bristol City
29.2%
Draw
48.1%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Bristol City
vs
1.42
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).