Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Monza
24.3%
Draw
14.2%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Monza
vs
0.77
Reggina
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).