Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Crewe
23.0%
Draw
18.1%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Crewe
vs
0.81
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).