Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.8%
Metz
17.6%
Draw
65.6%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Metz
vs
2.35
Lyon
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
1-1
7.7%
1-3
7.6%
0-3
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
0-4
4.0%
1-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).