Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Hull
25.8%
Draw
33.7%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Hull
vs
1.10
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).