Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Famalicao
22.5%
Draw
18.9%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Famalicao
vs
0.86
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).