Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Brighton
29.4%
Draw
22.0%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Brighton
vs
0.94
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).