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14 Jan 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.9%
Ad. Demirspor
28.7%
Draw
47.4%
Ankaragucu

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Ad. Demirspor

vs
1.78

Ankaragucu

Markets

BTTS61.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
1-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).