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AHT: 02CSV

24 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.4%
Scunthorpe
19.3%
Draw
68.3%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Scunthorpe

vs
1.99

Walsall

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.0%
0-2
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
9.0%
0-0
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
1-0
5.1%
0-4
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).